The hottest future of American paper industry

According to the annual survey report on the production capacity of the paper industry made by the Merrill Lynch Paper Association, the production capacity of the U.S. paper industry will grow steadily in the next three years (), while its production capacity showed a negative growth of 1.3% in 2001, which is the first record breaking decline in the entire U.S. paper industry

from 1980 to 1997, the production capacity of paper and paperboard in the United States increased at an average annual rate of 2.5%, and the growth rate in the three years from 1998 to 2000 was 0.9%. The slowdown of its growth momentum is related to the appreciation of the dollar, which affects the competitiveness of paper and paperboard produced in the United States in the markets of North America and the second overseas region. The annual production capacity of paper and paperboard in the United States is 103.9 million tons, which is not much different from the level expected in last year's survey report. However, this year, its production capacity has decreased by 2million tons, or 1.9%, to 102.6 million tons, mainly because a large number of suspended factories have production capacity of more than one year and the capacity for demolition and repair, which are not included in this year's survey report

paper

compared with 7.5 million tons last year, its production capacity this year is 7million tons, down 5.6%. Although the shutdown of the factory is a factor, the reduction in production capacity is due to a large number of paper converted to low-grade mechanical pulp printing paper. By 2004, it is estimated that it will decrease by 4.5%, reaching an annual production capacity of 6.7 million tons

printing and writing paper

compared with the prediction in the survey report last year, the production capacity of this kind of paper has decreased by 1.2 million tons this year, that is, by 4%, which is also due to the fact that a large number of production capacity was closed last year but still included in the survey report

the production capacity of low-grade uncoated mechanical pulp printing paper is estimated to fall by 20% (equivalent to 443000 tons). The survey report last year estimated that the target of increasing production capacity by 10% in 2001 was not achieved, but decreased by about 8% this year. It is now estimated that the production capacity of this kind of paper will increase by 2.1 million tons in 2002, or 14%, and its production capacity will not change significantly after 2002. The production capacity of low-grade coating mechanical pulp printing paper in this year has increased by more than 2% compared with that expected in last year's report. It is estimated that the total production capacity will increase by 12% in the three years from 2002 to 2004, that is, some frequently used experimental skills still need us to master an average annual growth of 4%. In terms of high-grade coated all wood pulp printing paper, the production capacity in 2001 fell slightly compared with that in 2000, and is expected to increase by 0.4% annually from 2002 to 2004. This is lower than the average annual growth rate of 5% in the ten years before 1997. The production capacity of high-grade uncoated wood pulp printing and writing paper decreased by 4.7% in 2001 compared with 2000, equivalent to a decrease of 700000 tons

household paper

the production capacity of household paper has increased rapidly in the past three years, but this year's report said: it is expected that its growth momentum will slow down in the future. Because new paper machines will be put into operation next year, it will increase by 2% in 2002, 0.7% in 2003, and no growth in 2004

kraft wrapping paper

this year, the production capacity of this kind of paper has decreased significantly, in which natural kraft pulp can improve the interface affinity between wood flour and resin, wrapping paper has decreased by 7.6%, and bleached kraft pulp wrapping paper has decreased by 9%. It is mainly caused by the shutdown of the factory and the frequent production change of packaging paper and carton board. It is estimated that its production capacity will not change greatly by next year, so that the annual production capacity of natural color and bleached kraft pulp packaging paper can be stabilized at 1.9 million tons and 341000 tons respectively

carton board

the production capacity of carton board has remained relatively stable this year, and its production capacity has not increased much since this year. The three-year average growth rate from 2002 to 2004 was only 0.1%. The production capacity of corrugated core paperboard has basically remained stable this year. Because a new machine and another paperboard machine were put into operation after transformation in the middle of 2002, it is expected to increase by 1.6% next year and 0.7% in 2003. It is estimated that the production capacity of corrugated core paperboard will not change by 2004

folding box white paperboard

the report predicts that the production capacity of all kinds of white paperboard, including recycled white paperboard, white paperboard and unbleached paperboard, will only change a little. In particular, the production capacity of folding box white paperboard is estimated to decline by 0.9% this year, increase by 0.2% in 2002, increase by 0.1% in 2003, and remain unchanged until 2004

pulp

by the end of 2004, the total production capacity of pulp is expected to remain basically unchanged, with an annual output of about 10.4 million tons, and there will be no major changes in major varieties

recycled waste paper

in the report, it is estimated that the production capacity of waste paper recycling decreased by about 3.5% in 2000 and 1.4% in 2001. From 2002 to 2004, its annual average production capacity of recycled paper is estimated to increase by 3.1%. Among them, the consumption of waste hybrid paper, waste newspapers and magazines and waste corrugated cardboard boxes will increase steadily, while the consumption of high-grade waste paper for pulp substitution and deinking pulp will remain stable

the spring is in the process of change